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Law of Large Numbers in AP Statistics

The Law of Large Numbers states that as the number of trials in a probability experiment increases, the experimental probability of an event will converge to the theoretical probability of that event.

Verified for the 2027 AP Statistics examLast updated August 2026

What is the Law of Large Numbers?

The Law of Large Numbers states that as the number of trials in a probability experiment increases, the experimental probability of an event will converge to the theoretical probability of that event.

In AP Statistics, this term belongs to 2.12 Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem. Use the notation and conditions attached to the procedure or model, then interpret the result in context.

Why the Law of Large Numbers matters in AP® Statistics

Law of Large Numbers supports Unit 2: Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions. The relevant CED learning objectives cover describe sampling distributions with simulations.

How the Law of Large Numbers connects across the course

2.12 Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem

Law of Large Numbers is used in this topic. Connect the definition to the topic's calculations and interpretations in context.

Bayes' theorem (Unit 2)

Bayes' theorem connects to Law of Large Numbers through the course's focus on variation, calculation, and conclusions in context.

Empirical Rule (Unit 2)

Empirical Rule connects to Law of Large Numbers through the course's focus on variation, calculation, and conclusions in context.

Is the Law of Large Numbers on the AP® Statistics exam?

An AP question can ask you to calculate a probability or interpret a probability distribution in context. Name the concept precisely, show the relevant calculation when needed, and state the conclusion in the problem's context.

Key things to remember about the Law of Large Numbers

  • The Law of Large Numbers states that as the number of trials in a probability experiment increases, the experimental probability of an event will converge to the theoretical probability of that event.

  • Law of Large Numbers is mapped to 2.12 Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem in the current AP Statistics course.

  • On an AP question, use Law of Large Numbers as part of a complete calculation or interpretation, not as an isolated label.

Frequently asked questions about the Law of Large Numbers

What is Law of Large Numbers in AP Statistics?

The Law of Large Numbers states that as the number of trials in a probability experiment increases, the experimental probability of an event will converge to the theoretical probability of that event.

Which AP Stats unit covers Law of Large Numbers?

Law of Large Numbers appears in Unit 2: Probability, Random Variables, and Probability Distributions, especially 2.12 Sampling Distributions and the Central Limit Theorem.

How does Law of Large Numbers appear on the AP exam?

An AP question can ask you to calculate a probability or interpret a probability distribution in context. Name the concept precisely, show the relevant calculation when needed, and state the conclusion in the problem's context.

Is Law of Large Numbers only a vocabulary term?

No. Be ready to use it in a calculation, identify it in a setup, or interpret what it means in context.