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Debt service-to-export ratio

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International Development and Sustainability

Definition

The debt service-to-export ratio is a financial metric that measures the proportion of a country's export earnings that is used to pay off its external debt obligations. This ratio provides insight into a nation's ability to service its debt relative to the revenue generated from its exports. A higher ratio can indicate potential difficulties in meeting debt obligations, highlighting concerns about debt sustainability and management.

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5 Must Know Facts For Your Next Test

  1. A lower debt service-to-export ratio is generally considered favorable as it indicates that a smaller portion of export income is needed to meet debt obligations.
  2. Countries with high ratios may face increased risk of default, which can affect their credit ratings and increase borrowing costs.
  3. This ratio is particularly important for developing countries, where export revenues can be limited and external debt burdens may be significant.
  4. Monitoring the debt service-to-export ratio can help governments assess their economic health and make informed policy decisions regarding borrowing and spending.
  5. In general, a sustainable debt service-to-export ratio is often considered to be below 15-20%, although this threshold can vary depending on the economic context of each country.

Review Questions

  • How does the debt service-to-export ratio reflect a country's economic health and its ability to manage external debts?
    • The debt service-to-export ratio reflects a country's economic health by indicating how much of its export income is consumed by servicing external debts. A high ratio suggests that a large portion of earnings is required for debt payments, potentially leading to financial distress. This situation can limit investment in critical areas such as infrastructure or social services, ultimately affecting the nation's overall development and stability.
  • What implications does a rising debt service-to-export ratio have for policy makers in developing countries?
    • A rising debt service-to-export ratio signals that developing countries may be facing increasing difficulties in managing their external debts. Policymakers must respond by evaluating fiscal policies, potentially restructuring debt or seeking additional funding sources. If left unaddressed, a high ratio can lead to default risks, which could trigger broader economic challenges and impact the country's growth trajectory.
  • Evaluate the potential long-term effects on a country's economy if it maintains a high debt service-to-export ratio over time.
    • Maintaining a high debt service-to-export ratio over time can have severe long-term effects on a country's economy. It can lead to reduced public investment in essential services like education and health care due to the prioritization of debt repayments. Additionally, persistent high ratios might hinder economic growth by limiting access to new borrowing or increasing interest rates. Ultimately, this situation could perpetuate cycles of poverty and underdevelopment, making it difficult for the nation to achieve sustainable growth.

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