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Compound annual growth rate (CAGR)

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Business Valuation

Definition

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is a measure used to calculate the mean annual growth rate of an investment over a specified time period, assuming that the investment grows at a steady rate. This metric helps investors understand how much an investment has grown over time on an annual basis, making it easier to compare the performance of different investments and assess their potential return.

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5 Must Know Facts For Your Next Test

  1. CAGR is calculated using the formula: $$ CAGR = \frac{Ending\ Value}{Beginning\ Value}^{\frac{1}{Number\ of\ Years}} - 1 $$.
  2. CAGR can be used for various types of investments, including stocks, bonds, and real estate, making it a versatile metric for evaluating performance.
  3. It assumes that profits are reinvested at the end of each period, which reflects more realistic growth scenarios for investments.
  4. While CAGR gives a smoothed annual growth rate, it does not account for volatility or fluctuations in the investment value during the period.
  5. CAGR is particularly useful when comparing the historical performance of different investments over the same time frame.

Review Questions

  • How does CAGR provide a clearer understanding of an investment's growth compared to simple annual growth rates?
    • CAGR gives a consistent annual growth rate over multiple periods, smoothing out fluctuations that may occur year-to-year. Unlike simple annual growth rates, which can be affected by extreme highs or lows in specific years, CAGR represents the average performance of the investment over time. This makes it easier for investors to evaluate and compare different investments on a like-for-like basis, as it normalizes growth rates across varying time frames.
  • Discuss how CAGR can impact investment decisions and strategies among investors.
    • Investors often use CAGR to assess the historical performance of investments and project future growth potential. By analyzing the CAGR of various options, investors can make more informed decisions about where to allocate their funds. This metric helps identify which investments have consistently delivered strong returns over time and aids in portfolio diversification strategies by comparing growth rates across asset classes.
  • Evaluate the limitations of using CAGR as a sole metric for assessing investment performance and risk.
    • While CAGR is a useful tool for measuring average growth over time, it doesn't capture the full picture of an investment's risk profile. It overlooks periods of volatility that may affect an investor's experience and does not reflect how an asset may perform during downturns or market fluctuations. Relying solely on CAGR could lead to misjudging potential risks associated with an investment, highlighting the importance of considering additional metrics and analyses alongside CAGR for comprehensive investment evaluation.
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