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AP US Government
Unit 4 – American Political Ideologies and Beliefs
Topic 4.5
What conclusion can be drawn from comparing early Gallup polls predicting election outcomes with modern advanced analytics and prediction models?
Despite methodological advances, unexpected results still occur due to potential biases/errors.
Advanced analytics provide completely accurate predictions every time due to increased accuracy of data collection methods.
Modern prediction models always fail due to complexity resulting in more mistakes than traditional methods like Gallup polls used earlier.
Gallup polls were more accurate as they relied on simpler sampling techniques reducing complication errors.
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AP US Government - 4.5 Measuring Public Opinion
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Advanced analytics
Election Outcomes
Gallup polls
Prediction models
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Cram Mode
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AP® and SAT® are trademarks registered by the College Board, which is not affiliated with, and does not endorse this website.
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