🎲intro to statistics review

Hypergeometric probability

Written by the Fiveable Content Team • Last updated August 2025
Written by the Fiveable Content Team • Last updated August 2025

Definition

Hypergeometric probability is the probability of $k$ successes in $n$ draws from a finite population without replacement. It is used when the sample size and the population size are both known, and each draw changes the composition of the population.

5 Must Know Facts For Your Next Test

  1. The hypergeometric distribution models scenarios where sampling is done without replacement.
  2. The probability mass function (PMF) for hypergeometric distribution is given by $P(X=k) = \frac{\binom{K}{k} \binom{N-K}{n-k}}{\binom{N}{n}}$, where $N$ is the population size, $K$ is the number of successes in the population, $n$ is the sample size, and $k$ is the number of observed successes.
  3. The mean of a hypergeometric distribution is given by $E(X) = n \frac{K}{N}$.
  4. The variance of a hypergeometric distribution is given by $Var(X) = n \frac{K}{N} \left(1 - \frac{K}{N}\right) \left(\frac{N-n}{N-1}\right)$.
  5. Hypergeometric probabilities can be calculated using combinatorial methods or statistical software.

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