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📊ap statistics review

7.9 Carrying Out a Test for the Difference of Two Population Means

Verified for the 2025 AP Statistics examLast Updated on June 18, 2024

Once you have determined that the assumptions for the two-sample t-test are met, you can proceed to calculate the test statistic and p-value in order to determine the statistical significance of the difference between the two population means. 2️⃣

To calculate the test statistic, you first need to calculate the difference between the two sample means, and then divide this difference by the standard error of the difference, with standard deviations of the two samples and sample sizes for both samples as variables. 

Once you have calculated the test statistic, you can use a t-table or a computer program to determine the p-value, which is the probability that the difference between the two sample means occurred by chance. If the p-value is below a certain threshold (usually 0.05), the difference between the means is considered statistically significant and we can conclude that there is a significant difference between the two population means.

Calculating Test Statistics

The first and necessary aspect of our calculations is calculating our t-score. Since we are dealing with quantitative data (means), we need to find our degrees of freedom first. 💯

Degrees of Freedom

  • When calculating by hand, we will take the smaller of the two samples and subtract 1. This is the same as we did in Unit 7.5 with 1 sample.
  • When performing the test with technology such as a graphing calculator, the degrees of freedom will be given with the output.

Critical Value (t-score)

To calculate our critical value, we used the typical formula: 

To make it more specific for a t-score with the difference of two population means, our formula simplifies to:

This can be found on the Formula Sheet by simplifying the given formulas.

Calculating P-Value

Now that we know our appropriate degrees of freedom and our t-score, we can refer to our Formula Sheet and refer to the appropriate row for our df. Looking across the tow, find the t-score value that is closest to the one you calculated for the t-score. Use the tail probability that most closely coordinates to your t-score. 🦊

A more exact way of calculating the p-value is to perform a 2 sample t-test in some form of technology such as a graphing calculator. As with any t-procedure, you are given the option of typing in the statistical information or entering in the data in list 1.

Once you enter the test in, the output gives you the t-score, df and p-value for your test. On the AP test, it is essential that you write down ALL 3 of these on your response to receive full credit. 

For our green bean example from Unit 7.8, this is what our input would look like:

And our output would be as follows:

Testing Statistical Claim

Now that you have the numbers you need, you can check the statistical claim of the null hypothesis. ✔️

As with any significance test, we are checking to see if our p is lower than the significance level. If our p is low, we reject the null with convincing evidence of the alternate hypothesis. If the p is not lower than the significance level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Once you make your decision, you should be able to see if in fact there is a difference in your two populations.

For our green bean example, our conclusion would be as follows:

Since our p value is essentially 0 and less than 0.05, we reject our H0. We have convincing evidence that the true mean number of green beans picked from Field A differs from that picked in Field B. 😲

I made sure to compare our p-value to our significance level, reject/fail to reject H0, and have evidence/not have evidence of the Ha. Also, my answer is in context of the problem! 😄

🎥 Watch: AP Stats - Review of Inference: z and t Procedures

Key Terms to Review (9)

Alternate Hypothesis: The alternate hypothesis is a statement that proposes a change, difference, or effect in a statistical test, serving as a counterpoint to the null hypothesis. It reflects what researchers aim to support, indicating that there is an effect or relationship worth investigating. The alternate hypothesis is crucial for determining the outcome of statistical tests and guides the decision-making process in hypothesis testing.
Degrees of Freedom: Degrees of freedom refer to the number of independent values or quantities that can vary in a statistical calculation without breaking any constraints. This concept is crucial when conducting hypothesis tests or constructing confidence intervals, as it impacts the distribution of the test statistic and influences the conclusions drawn from statistical analyses.
Null Hypothesis: The null hypothesis is a statement that assumes there is no effect or no difference in a given situation, serving as the foundation for statistical testing. It provides a baseline against which alternative hypotheses are tested, guiding researchers in determining whether observed data significantly deviates from what is expected under this assumption.
Significance Level: The significance level, often denoted as alpha (\(\alpha\)), is the threshold used to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis in statistical hypothesis testing. It represents the probability of making a Type I error, which occurs when a true null hypothesis is incorrectly rejected. Understanding the significance level is crucial for interpreting results and making informed decisions based on statistical tests.
Standard Error: Standard Error is a statistic that measures the accuracy with which a sample represents a population, specifically quantifying the variability of a sample mean from the population mean. It plays a critical role in constructing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis tests, helping to assess how much sample means are expected to fluctuate around the true population mean. A smaller standard error indicates that the sample mean is a more precise estimate of the population mean.
Statistical significance: Statistical significance refers to the likelihood that a relationship or difference observed in data is not due to random chance, but rather reflects a true effect in the population. It helps researchers determine if their findings are reliable and meaningful by comparing p-values to a predetermined significance level, often set at 0.05. When a result is deemed statistically significant, it suggests that there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of an alternative hypothesis.
Type II error: A Type II error occurs when a statistical test fails to reject a false null hypothesis, meaning that the test concludes there is no effect or difference when, in fact, one exists. This error is crucial in hypothesis testing, as it can lead to missed opportunities to identify significant effects or differences between populations.
Two-sample t-test: A two-sample t-test is a statistical method used to determine whether the means of two independent groups are significantly different from each other. This test assumes that the data from both groups are normally distributed and have similar variances, allowing researchers to make inferences about the populations based on sample data.
Type I Error: A Type I Error occurs when a true null hypothesis is incorrectly rejected, leading to the conclusion that there is an effect or difference when, in fact, none exists. This error is also known as a false positive and is critical to understand in the context of hypothesis testing, as it reflects the risk of making a wrong decision based on sample data.