Reasoning comes in two main flavors: deductive and inductive. Deductive reasoning starts with general ideas and leads to specific conclusions. Inductive reasoning does the opposite, using specific observations to draw broader conclusions.
When evaluating arguments, deductive reasoning aims for certainty, while inductive reasoning deals with probability. Deductive arguments are judged on validity and soundness, while inductive arguments are assessed for strength and cogency.
Types of Reasoning
Deductive and Inductive Reasoning
- Deductive reasoning moves from general premises to a specific conclusion
- Premises are assumed to be true and the conclusion follows necessarily from them
- If the premises are true, the conclusion must be true (valid deductive arguments)
- Deductive arguments are evaluated in terms of validity and soundness
- Inductive reasoning moves from specific premises to a general conclusion
- Premises provide evidence that supports the conclusion but do not guarantee its truth
- Even if the premises are true, the conclusion may still be false (strong or weak inductive arguments)
- Inductive arguments are evaluated in terms of strength and cogency
General-to-Specific and Specific-to-General Reasoning
- General-to-specific reasoning starts with a general statement or principle and applies it to a specific case
- Involves deductive reasoning, drawing a conclusion about a particular instance based on a general rule
- Example: All humans are mortal. Socrates is human. Therefore, Socrates is mortal.
- Specific-to-general reasoning starts with specific observations and draws a general conclusion
- Involves inductive reasoning, inferring a general rule or principle based on particular instances
- Example: Every swan I have seen is white. Therefore, all swans are probably white.
Evaluating Arguments
Certainty and Probability in Arguments
- Deductive arguments aim for certainty in their conclusions
- If the premises are true and the argument is valid, the conclusion must be true with absolute certainty
- Sound deductive arguments provide conclusive proof of their conclusions
- Inductive arguments aim for probability in their conclusions
- The premises provide evidence that makes the conclusion more or less likely to be true
- The strength of an inductive argument depends on how well the premises support the conclusion
- Even strong inductive arguments do not provide absolute certainty, only high probability
Strength and Cogency of Inductive Arguments
- The strength of an inductive argument refers to how well the premises support the conclusion
- Strong inductive arguments have premises that make the conclusion very likely to be true
- Weak inductive arguments have premises that provide little support for the conclusion
- The more relevant and comprehensive the evidence, the stronger the argument
- The cogency of an inductive argument refers to both its strength and the truth of its premises
- A cogent inductive argument is strong and has true premises
- Even if an inductive argument is strong, it may not be cogent if one or more premises are false
- Cogent arguments provide good reasons to accept the conclusion, but not absolute certainty