Aggregate demand is shaped by several key factors that drive economic activity. Understanding the roles of consumer spending, investment, government spending, net exports, and other determinants helps explain how economies grow and respond to changes in policy and market conditions.
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Consumer spending (C)
- Represents the largest component of aggregate demand, accounting for about 70% of total economic activity.
- Influenced by disposable income, consumer confidence, and interest rates.
- Higher consumer spending leads to increased demand for goods and services, stimulating economic growth.
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Investment spending (I)
- Comprises business expenditures on capital goods, such as machinery and buildings, which enhance productive capacity.
- Sensitive to interest rates; lower rates typically encourage more investment.
- Business expectations about future profitability significantly impact investment decisions.
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Government spending (G)
- Includes all government expenditures on goods and services, such as infrastructure, education, and defense.
- Directly affects aggregate demand; increased government spending can stimulate economic activity.
- Fiscal policy decisions, such as stimulus packages, can significantly influence overall economic performance.
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Net exports (X-M)
- Calculated as the difference between a country's exports (X) and imports (M).
- Positive net exports contribute to aggregate demand, while negative net exports can reduce it.
- Influenced by exchange rates, trade policies, and global economic conditions.
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Interest rates
- The cost of borrowing money; lower interest rates generally encourage consumer and business spending.
- Central banks manipulate interest rates to control inflation and stabilize the economy.
- Changes in interest rates can have a ripple effect on all components of aggregate demand.
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Wealth effects
- Refers to the impact of changes in asset values (like stocks and real estate) on consumer spending.
- When people feel wealthier due to rising asset prices, they are more likely to spend, boosting aggregate demand.
- Conversely, declining asset values can lead to reduced consumer confidence and spending.
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Expectations about future income and inflation
- Consumer and business expectations about future economic conditions can influence spending and investment decisions.
- Optimistic expectations can lead to increased spending, while pessimism can result in reduced consumption and investment.
- Inflation expectations can affect purchasing behavior; if consumers expect prices to rise, they may spend more now.
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Exchange rates
- The value of one currency in relation to another; affects the competitiveness of a country's exports and imports.
- A weaker currency makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive, potentially increasing net exports.
- Fluctuations in exchange rates can impact aggregate demand through changes in trade balances.
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Taxes
- Directly influence disposable income; higher taxes reduce consumer spending, while lower taxes can stimulate it.
- Tax policies can also affect business investment decisions and overall economic growth.
- Changes in tax rates can have immediate effects on aggregate demand.
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Transfer payments
- Payments made by the government to individuals without any exchange of goods or services, such as social security and unemployment benefits.
- Increase disposable income for recipients, leading to higher consumer spending.
- Can act as automatic stabilizers during economic downturns, helping to maintain aggregate demand.