🥇International Economics Unit 10 – International Financial Markets

Key Concepts and Definitions

• International financial markets facilitate cross-border flow of funds and financial assets
• Exchange rate represents the value of one currency in terms of another (USD/EUR)
• Capital flows refer to the movement of money for investment purposes across international borders
• Foreign direct investment (FDI) occurs when a company invests in a foreign country by establishing operations or acquiring assets
• Portfolio investment involves purchasing securities (stocks and bonds) issued by foreign entities
• Hedging utilizes financial instruments to mitigate risks associated with exchange rate fluctuations or other financial uncertainties
• Derivatives are financial contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset (currencies, commodities, stocks)
  • Common derivatives include futures, options, and swaps

Global Financial System Overview

• Consists of financial institutions, markets, and infrastructure that enable global economic activities
• Facilitates international trade, investment, and capital flows across borders
• Major components include central banks, commercial banks, stock exchanges, and international financial institutions (World Bank, IMF)
• Globalization has led to increased interconnectedness of financial markets worldwide
  • Events in one market can quickly impact others due to rapid transmission of information and capital flows
• Regulatory bodies and international agreements (Basel Accords) aim to maintain stability and mitigate systemic risks
• Technological advancements have transformed the speed and efficiency of financial transactions
  • Electronic trading platforms and high-frequency trading algorithms have become prevalent

Major International Financial Markets

• Foreign exchange market is the largest, with daily trading volumes exceeding $6 trillion
  • Facilitates currency conversion and supports international trade and investment
• Stock markets enable companies to raise capital and investors to trade ownership stakes (NYSE, LSE, TSE)
• Bond markets provide a platform for governments and corporations to issue debt securities and raise funds
• Money markets deal with short-term lending and borrowing, typically with maturities of less than one year (Treasury bills, commercial paper)
• Commodity markets facilitate trading of raw materials and agricultural products (gold, oil, wheat)
• Emerging markets, such as those in developing countries, offer high growth potential but also carry higher risks
• Integration of markets has increased, allowing investors to diversify portfolios across borders

Exchange Rates and Currency Markets

• Exchange rates determine the relative value of one currency against another
• Floating exchange rates are determined by market forces of supply and demand
  • Influenced by economic indicators, interest rates, and geopolitical events
• Fixed exchange rates are pegged to another currency or a basket of currencies
  • Central banks intervene to maintain the fixed rate
• Currency appreciation occurs when a currency gains value relative to another, while depreciation is a decrease in value
• Forward contracts allow parties to lock in an exchange rate for a future transaction
• Currency swaps involve exchanging principal and interest payments in different currencies
• Central banks manage foreign exchange reserves to stabilize currency values and maintain liquidity

International Banking and Capital Flows

• Banks facilitate cross-border transactions and provide financing for international trade and investment
• Correspondent banking relationships enable banks to provide services in countries where they lack a physical presence
• Multinational banks have a presence in multiple countries and offer a wide range of international financial services
• Capital flows can be classified as inflows (foreign investment into a country) or outflows (domestic investment abroad)
• Push factors, such as low interest rates in developed markets, can drive capital into emerging markets
• Pull factors, like strong economic growth and attractive returns, can attract foreign investment
• Capital controls are measures implemented by governments to regulate the flow of capital across borders

Financial Instruments and Derivatives

• Financial instruments are tradable assets that represent a claim on future cash flows (stocks, bonds, currencies)
• Derivatives are financial contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset or benchmark
  • Futures contracts obligate parties to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a future date
  • Options grant the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call) or sell (put) an asset at a specific price
• Swaps involve exchanging cash flows or liabilities to manage risks or exploit market inefficiencies
  • Interest rate swaps allow parties to exchange fixed and floating interest payments
• Credit derivatives, such as credit default swaps (CDS), provide insurance against the risk of default on a bond or loan
• Derivatives can be used for hedging to mitigate risks or for speculation to profit from market movements

Risk Management in International Finance

• Exchange rate risk arises from potential changes in currency values that impact international transactions
  • Hedging techniques, such as forward contracts and options, can mitigate this risk
• Interest rate risk refers to the impact of changing interest rates on the value of financial assets and liabilities
• Credit risk is the potential for loss due to a borrower's inability to repay a loan or meet contractual obligations
• Country risk encompasses political, economic, and social factors that may affect the ability to conduct business or repatriate funds
• Diversification across asset classes, geographies, and sectors can help manage portfolio risk
• Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistical measure used to quantify the potential loss of an investment portfolio
• Stress testing involves simulating adverse market scenarios to assess the resilience of financial institutions and portfolios

Current Trends and Challenges

• Digitalization and fintech innovations are disrupting traditional financial services (mobile banking, blockchain, cryptocurrencies)
  • Regulatory frameworks are evolving to address the risks and opportunities posed by these developments
• Sustainable finance and ESG (environmental, social, and governance) investing are gaining prominence
  • Investors are increasingly considering non-financial factors in their decision-making process
• Low interest rate environment in developed markets has led to a search for yield and increased risk-taking
• Geopolitical tensions and trade disputes can create uncertainty and volatility in financial markets
• Climate change poses physical and transition risks to the financial sector
  • Assessing and managing these risks is becoming a key priority for financial institutions
• Cybersecurity threats and data privacy concerns require robust risk management and regulatory oversight
• Increasing focus on financial inclusion and access to financial services in underserved communities